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2024-12-13 02:27:24
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Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.Ubs keeps the rating of western oil companies neutral.China automobile dealers association: In November, the inventory coefficient of automobile dealers was 1.11, with a slight increase of 0.9% month-on-month. china automobile dealers association released the survey results of "Automobile Dealer Inventory" in November 2024: the comprehensive inventory coefficient of automobile dealers in November was 1.11, with a slight increase of 0.9% month-on-month and a decrease of 22.4% year-on-year. The inventory level was below the warning line and within a reasonable range.


Foreign media: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban posted that he met with Trump and Musk at Haihu Manor. According to CNN and Russian Tass News Agency on the 9th, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban went to the United States at the invitation of President-elect Trump, and met with Trump at Haihu Manor in Florida. American billionaire Musk also attended the talks. According to the report, Orban posted on social media X on the 9th: "America today. The future has begun! One afternoon at Haihu Manor with Trump, Musk and Mike Valcz (appointed by Trump as US National Security Adviser-Editor's Note). " (World Wide Web)Donghai securities: The domestic sales of excavators increased, and the domestic brand bamua exhibited its elegant demeanour. The donghai securities Research Report pointed out that the total sales of excavators increased. Domestically, the domestic sales of excavators in November 2024 increased by 20.5% year-on-year, and the growth continued, which was better than expected by CME. Overseas, in November 2024, excavator exports increased by 15.2% year-on-year, and the monthly sales growth rate of exports expanded. With the large-scale equipment renewal policy and real estate financial policy landing one after another, domestic demand gradually recovered and warmed up; Overseas, domestic enterprises are laying out overseas pre-sales and after-sales networks, establishing overseas local production capacity, entering an accelerated period of globalization, gradually increasing market penetration and effectively smoothing domestic and international cycles. It is suggested to pay attention to overseas leading enterprises of machinery and equipment with deep layout, high brand recognition, perfect product matrix, high cost efficiency and strong R&D strength, such as Sany Heavy Industry, Xugong Machinery and Zoomlion.Liu Lihua, Director of the Seed Industry Management Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs: The pace of merger and reorganization of seed industry enterprises is accelerating, and the trend of collectivization is obvious. Liu Lihua, Director of the Seed Industry Management Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, said at the press conference of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs on the 10 th that the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs selected one out of more than 30,000 seed industry enterprises in the country, selected 270 advantageous enterprises, and built a formation of national seed industry enterprises with strong advantages, shortcomings and problems. Promote the docking of scientific research units, financial institutions and seed production enterprises with formation enterprises, support enterprises to take the lead or participate in undertaking more scientific research tasks, implement the integrated policy of R&D, promotion and application of major varieties, and support enterprises to accelerate the R&D and cultivation of varieties. At present, the pace of merger and reorganization of enterprises is accelerating, and the trend of collectivization is also obvious. Two enterprises, such as Sinochem Syngenta and CITIC Longping, are among the top ten in the global seed industry, and Beijing Yukou poultry industry has become the world's largest laying hen seed production enterprise. Various places have also introduced support policies for seed enterprises, and 14 provinces such as Guangdong and Sichuan have set up seed groups one after another, and the innovation ability and competitiveness of enterprises are constantly improving.


The yield of China's 10-year treasury bonds dropped to 1.87% at the beginning of the session, and the betting easing policy was accelerated. The yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 Treasury bonds with interest 11" dropped by 3.5bp to 1.87%, hitting a record low.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange opened 0.2% lower at 23,228.26.Hong Kong auto stocks opened higher, with Weilai Auto (09866.HK) up 6.7%, Xpeng Motors (09868.HK) up 6.2% and LI (02015.HK) up 3.4%.

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